So, with regard to my first post, and acknowledging, more completely, Biged's very real and pertinent concerns about methods and epistemology in sociological evolution (i.e. evolution of ideas and/or evolution of cultural artifacts), here are a few comments.
I can think of two VERY difficult obstacles to the biological/cultural metaphor, with regard to the actual application of cladistics ("parsimonious, tree-drawing") to the question at hand. There are more difficulties, to be sure, but these two are most pressing in my mind (and I am on public computers, with an hour and a half left, so I best hurry!).
1) The analogy and homology distinction. Bees and birds both have wings, and both fly. But the evolutionary history of bees' wings and birds' wings are distinct. They are analogous structures, but not homologous. This distinction might be superficial, even in our biological discussions; but virtually NO biologists would ever say so, or admit it out loud. (As far as I know, I am the exception. I think the philosopher Dennett and Gould, were he still with us, would deign to dicuss the matter, but few others would see the merit. Perhaps Ruse and Ghiselin and Hull and Lloyd and Thompson?).
A more accurate observation is that bees' wings and birds' wings are both made of eukaryotic cells and take shape through the normal developmental processes of the Kingdom Animalia. In this sense, they are the same structures with the same evolutionary history. A stretch? YES! YOU BET! But, I note, NOT FALSE! ( a standard biological narrative is that Phylum Arthropoda and Phylum Chordata split about the time of the Cambrian Explosion, and never the twain shall meet!)
And of course, given the "endosymbiotic theory" even these cells and the cells of bacteria are the same thing, and not analogous; undoubtedly we may stretch the metaphor as far as we wish, perhaps even to the periodic crystals of mineral species and the aperiodic crystals of DNA!
However, ALL practical biologists (including me) acknowledge the GENERAL truth--and especially the utility--of acknowledging the reality of homologous structures, their "nearness" in historical generation and familial relationship, and the utility of constructing trees while trying to reconstruct a narrative of "what happened". It is a best guess. History is messy, and historical sciences are messy. That is just an inherent, unavoidable truth.
2) Corporate history. Of course, there is the corporate history in the sense of public relations, advertising and.or patent legal disputes. People have a REAL economic interest in distorting the "who first" question and answer. One of the good things about brief periods of stagnation in the technological development of computers, is it allows people to stop, and think, and take stock of what has occurred. It actually gives intelligent people (you and me and us) a chance to stop and objectively view the important innovations, absent any political or economic motives. We get to act as historians do (please, put aside your favorite Atari and/or Nintendo, or Commodore 64, and view this question objectively--to the extent that the question can even be posed in a precise enough fashion to allow us to answer it!).
But there are several other aspects to corporate history that obscures our understanding of the question. Individuals can leave one corporation and go to another, taking ideas with them. ideas can be copied from one corporate product to another, with relative ease, and with minimal legal legerdemain (sure, they fight over it in court, but by the time its settled there, the market "is made", and something else is the "hot item".).
Did the university feed the idea? Generate it? The university made the mind, and the mind made the product? Or did the corporate stewardship of this "made-mind", cultivate the products of said mind? What about luck? Meticulous research? Creativity? Social fertilization. All of these things are incredibly important factors. And what about the people who have the idea, but just can't "reduce to practice". What about those that "reduce to practice" but can't market it, or can't produce them cheap enough to market it?
I am running out of steam on this thread, but you can see I could go on for weeks. There is fertile room here for a long discussion, but a cladistic tree of computer history--personal or otherwise--is very possible and desirable, in my view.
I have found several online (google image search "cladistic tree computer" and "evolution personal computer" or some such search. Here is at least one link that was useful; especially 1980's era poster by Gordon Bell;
http://research.microsoft.com/en-us/um/ ... umPubs.htm )